Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado · Referee D. Ulloa · Analysis updated 01:51 UTC
Puerto Cabello vs Juventud Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.21 expected goals for Puerto Cabello and 1.54 for Juventud, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives Juventud the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
Juventud or Draw
70.1% probability
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.54
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.9%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–07.8%
- 0–27.6%
Why the model likes this
Puerto Cabello home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Juventud away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Juventud to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 30% / 25% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.21 goals for Puerto Cabello and 1.54 for Juventud, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Puerto Cabello
- 2026-08-15T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Rayo Zuliano · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Zamora FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-06T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Caracas FC · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-02T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Metropolitanos FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-07T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Carabobo FC · 1-2 (L)
Juventud
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Torque · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-07T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Cerro Largo · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Maldonado · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-17T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Albion FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Torque · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
CONMEBOL Sudamericana table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Tigre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | America de Cali | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
| 1 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 | Juventud | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Boston River | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| 2 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 1 | Botafogo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Caracas FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Deportivo Riestra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 4 | Palestino | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 1 | Olimpia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Vasco DA Gama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | RB Bragantino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Carabobo FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Blooming | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.