Serbia · Super Liga · Relegation Group - 3717:30

21

Sunday, 24 May 2026

· Referee M. Delibasic · Analysis updated 23:57 UTC

Radnicki NIS vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Radnicki NIS and 1.18 for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Radnicki NIS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Radnicki NIS or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Radnicki NIS win44%
Draw26%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Radnicki NIS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Radnicki NIS and 1.18 for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Radnicki NIS

    FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

    • 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Teleoptik · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalac GM · 4-2 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Bor 1919 · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-05-24T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Radnicki NIS · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-05-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.