Real Cundinamarca vs Tigres FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Real Cundinamarca and 1.25 for Tigres FC, a combined total of 2.38. That distribution gives Tigres FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

Tigres FC or Draw

67.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Real Cundinamarca win33%

Draw28%

Tigres FC win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Both teams to score48%

Correct score

1–113.1%
0–111.6%
1–010.5%
0–09.3%
1–28.2%

Why the model likes this

Real Cundinamarca home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tigres FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 33% / 28% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.13 goals for Real Cundinamarca and 1.25 for Tigres FC, a combined 2.38 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 48%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Real Cundinamarca

2026-08-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Popayan · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-02T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Cartagena · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-27T20:30:00.000Z · A vs Envigado · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-26T20:30:00.000Z · H vs Águilas Doradas · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-17T20:30:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Pereira · 0-1 (L)

Tigres FC

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.