· Analysis updated 02:54 UTC
Real Frontera vs Atletico el Vigia FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for Real Frontera and 1.40 for Atletico el Vigia FC, a combined total of 2.87. That distribution gives Real Frontera the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.
Model pick
Real Frontera or Draw
63.9% probability
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 0–17.9%
Why the model likes this
Real Frontera home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Real Frontera to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 25% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.47 goals for Real Frontera and 1.40 for Atletico el Vigia FC, a combined 2.87 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Real Frontera
- 2026-08-15T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Lara · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Yaracuyanos FC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-02T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Atletico el Vigia FC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-29T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Club Atletico Barinas · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-25T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Urena SC · 1-5 (L)
Atletico el Vigia FC
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fundación Lara Deportiva | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Deportivo Lara | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | Urena SC | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Yaracuyanos FC | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Zamora FC B | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Puerto Cabello II | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Barinas | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | -9 | 23 |
| 8 | Atletico el Vigia FC | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -18 | 18 |
| 9 | Real Frontera | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | -25 | 11 |
| 1 | Monagas II | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Petare FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Aragua FC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 |
| 4 | Bolívar | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 24 |
| 5 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 |
| 6 | Marítimo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Atletico Avila FC | 16 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Mineros de Guyana | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -11 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.