Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Regular Season - 3420:00
Real PilarDDWWL

20:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza · Analysis updated 03:00 UTC

Real Pilar vs Talleres Remedios Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for Real Pilar and 1.03 for Talleres Remedios, a combined total of 1.73. That distribution gives Talleres Remedios the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 25% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.

Model pick

Talleres Remedios or Draw

75.8% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.70 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Real Pilar win24%
Draw33%
Talleres Remedios win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

67%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals52%
Over 2.5 goals25%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Both teams to score32%

Correct score

  • 0–118.3%
  • 0–017.7%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–012.4%
  • 0–29.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Real Pilar home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Talleres Remedios to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 24% / 33% / 43% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.70 goals for Real Pilar and 1.03 for Talleres Remedios, a combined 1.73 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 25% and both teams to score at 32%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 18%.

Recent form

Real Pilar

  • 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Flandria · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Argentino Quilmes · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Defensores Unidos · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Comunicaciones · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dock Sud · 0-1 (L)

Talleres Remedios

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Primera B Metropolitana table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Excursionistas3016862256
    2Talleres Remedios3016861856
    3Deportivo Camioneros30151051755
    4Villa Dalmine30151051755
    5Arsenal Sarandi30141151753
    6Sportivo Italiano30141061452
    7Real Pilar301299245
    8Deportivo Laferrere3011910-342
    9Deportivo Armenio2911810-141
    10Comunicaciones30101010240
    11Argentino de Merlo3010911039
    12Deportivo Merlo3091110-1238
    13San Martín Burzaco308139-237
    14Dock Sud3081210136
    15Argentino Quilmes297139-334
    16Liniers2971111-832
    17Brown DE Adrogue3071013-1231
    18Villa San Carlos2961112-729
    19Flandria307815-1329
    20UAI Urquiza293188-1027
    21Defensores Unidos2951113-1126
    22Ituzaingó3011019-2813

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.