Anoeta · Analysis updated 01:52 UTC
Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.02 for Mallorca, a combined total of 1.72. That distribution gives Mallorca the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 25% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.
Model pick
Mallorca or Draw
75.3% probability
Expected goals
0.70 – 1.02
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
67%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–118.3%
- 0–018.0%
- 1–112.8%
- 1–012.6%
- 0–29.3%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mallorca to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 25% / 33% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.70 goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.02 for Mallorca, a combined 1.72 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 25% and both teams to score at 32%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 18%.
Model confidence
Mallorca or Draw is the headline pick at 75% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Real Sociedad II
Mallorca
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Andorra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Mallorca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Castellón | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Cadiz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Celta de Vigo II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Granada CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Oviedo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Tenerife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Eibar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Burgos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Girona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Sabadell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Eldense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | Valladolid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.