Remo vs Botafogo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Remo and 1.79 for Botafogo, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Botafogo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.

Model pick

Botafogo or Draw

65.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.79

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Remo win34%

Draw23%

Botafogo win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals65%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score66%

Correct score

1–19.7%
1–28.7%
2–17.7%
2–26.9%
0–16.1%

Why the model likes this

Botafogo away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Botafogo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 34% / 23% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Remo and 1.79 for Botafogo, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Remo

Botafogo

2026-08-14T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Cienciano · 1-6 (L)
2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Fluminense · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-26T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Cruzeiro · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-23T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Vitoria · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-16T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Santos · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Serie A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	23	14	6	3	21	48
2	Flamengo	21	12	6	3	21	42
3	Atletico Paranaense	23	12	5	6	11	41
4	Fluminense	23	10	8	5	6	38
5	Cruzeiro	22	9	6	7	-1	33
6	Bahia	22	8	9	5	4	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	9	5	8	4	32
8	Corinthians	22	8	8	6	4	32
9	Botafogo	21	8	6	7	2	30
10	Coritiba	22	8	6	8	-2	30
11	Atletico-MG	21	8	5	8	0	29
12	Sao Paulo	21	7	5	9	1	26
13	Vitoria	22	7	5	10	-11	26
14	Gremio	21	6	7	8	-3	25
15	Mirassol	21	6	5	10	-6	23
16	Internacional	22	5	8	9	-4	23
17	Santos	21	5	7	9	-6	22
18	Vasco DA Gama	21	5	7	9	-8	22
19	Remo	22	5	7	10	-10	22
20	Chapecoense-sc	21	1	7	13	-23	10

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.