Denmark · 3. Division · Regular Season - 511:00
RingstedLLD

11:00 UTC

Saturday, 29 August 2026

SundbyLLL

Ringsted Stadion · Analysis updated 02:22 UTC

Ringsted vs Sundby Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Ringsted and 2.05 for Sundby, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Sundby the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Sundby to Win

47.3% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.65 – 2.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ringsted win31%
Draw21%
Sundby win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–28.6%
  • 1–18.4%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 1–35.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Ringsted home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sundby to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 31% / 21% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.65 goals for Ringsted and 2.05 for Sundby, a combined 3.70 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Ringsted

  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Holstebro · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Helsingor · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Frem · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs ASA Aarhus · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 1-2 (L)

Sundby

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    3. Division table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Holstebro321057
    2Holbæk B&I321027
    3FC Helsingor321027
    4ASA Aarhus321027
    5Brønshøj312025
    6Vanløse311124
    7Hørsholm-Usserød311114
    8Næsby3111-24
    9Frem3012-21
    10Ishøj3012-31
    11Ringsted3012-51
    12Sundby3003-40

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.