· Analysis updated 02:43 UTC
Rosengård vs Skövde AIK Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.84 expected goals for Rosengård and 0.81 for Skövde AIK, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Rosengård the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.
Model pick
Rosengård to Win
61.7% probability
Expected goals
1.84 – 0.81
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.0%
- 2–011.9%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 3–07.3%
Why the model likes this
Rosengård home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rosengård to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 22% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.84 goals for Rosengård and 0.81 for Skövde AIK, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 47%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
Rosengård
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eskilsminne · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Jonkopings Sodra · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Atvidabergs FF · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Trelleborg · 2-3 (L)
Skövde AIK
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ettan - Södra table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 36 |
| 2 | Hässleholms IF | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | AFC Malmo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Atvidabergs FF | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 29 |
| 5 | Lund | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Rosengård | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26 |
| 7 | Tvååker | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Olympic | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Jonkopings Sodra | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
| 10 | Eskilsminne | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Trollhättan | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Angelholms FF | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 | Laholm | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | Kristianstad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 17 |
| 15 | Skövde AIK | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -11 | 17 |
| 16 | Utsikten | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -31 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.