Global Energy Stadium · Analysis updated 02:24 UTC
Ross County vs Montrose Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Ross County and 0.72 for Montrose, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Ross County the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws roughly 27% of the time.
Model pick
Ross County to Win
72.6% probability
Expected goals
2.28 – 0.72
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–012.9%
- 1–011.4%
- 3–09.8%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.2%
Why the model likes this
Ross County home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ross County to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 17% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for Ross County and 0.72 for Montrose, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 46%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 1.25 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 5.00 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 9.40 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.18 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 4.33 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.62 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 2.20 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 2.50 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.48 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 2.00 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 1.67 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.01 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.09 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 3.50 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Ross County
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunfermline · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Elgin City · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Montrose · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Peterhead · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Airdrie United · 3-0 (W)
Montrose
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.