Hungary · NB III - Northwest · Northwest - 2916:00
SC SopronDWWD

21

Sunday, 17 May 2026

Dorogi FCDWW

Városi Stadion · Analysis updated 00:49 UTC

SC Sopron vs Dorogi FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for SC Sopron and 1.74 for Dorogi FC, a combined total of 2.99. That distribution gives Dorogi FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

Dorogi FC to Win

48.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.74

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

SC Sopron win28%
Draw24%
Dorogi FC win49%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 0–27.6%
  • 2–16.9%

Why the model likes this

  • SC Sopron home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dorogi FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 28% / 24% / 49% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.25 goals for SC Sopron and 1.74 for Dorogi FC, a combined 2.99 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

SC Sopron

  • 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatabánya · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Gyori ETO II · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Bicskei · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-07-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Szombathelyi Haladas · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyori ETO II · 2-3 (L)

Dorogi FC

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    NB III - Northwest table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1MTE 19044310510
    2Komárom4310410
    3Haladás VSE330099
    4SC Sopron422028
    5Dorogi FC321097
    6Tatabánya421157
    7Sárisápi Bányász4202-26
    8Veszprém4121-45
    9Pápai Perutz4112-24
    10Király SZE4112-34
    11Gyori ETO II3102-13
    12Bicskei4103-33
    13Zalaegerszegi TE II4103-33
    14Puskás II4103-53
    15Szombathelyi Haladas101001
    161908 SZAC3012-21
    17Balatonalmádi3003-90

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.