Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast · Southeast - 3715:00

01

Saturday, 23 May 2026

· Analysis updated 00:50 UTC

Sekirovo Rakovski vs Sozopol Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.66 expected goals for Sekirovo Rakovski and 1.61 for Sozopol, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives Sekirovo Rakovski the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Sekirovo Rakovski or Draw

62.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.61

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Sekirovo Rakovski win40%
Draw23%
Sozopol win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Sozopol away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sekirovo Rakovski to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 23% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.66 goals for Sekirovo Rakovski and 1.61 for Sozopol, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Sekirovo Rakovski

    Sozopol

    • 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Plovdiv · 3-4 (L)
    • 2026-05-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Rakovski 2011 · 4-1 (W)
    • 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sekirovo Rakovski · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sayana Haskovo · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-05-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II · 0-0 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

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    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.