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Saturday, 11 July 2026

· Analysis updated 03:29 UTC

Silkeborg vs Thisted FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Silkeborg and 1.60 for Thisted FC, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Silkeborg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.

Model pick

Silkeborg to Win

52.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.25 – 1.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Silkeborg win53%
Draw20%
Thisted FC win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams to score71%

Correct score

  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–17.7%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 3–16.5%
  • 1–26.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Thisted FC away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Silkeborg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 20% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.25 goals for Silkeborg and 1.60 for Thisted FC, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 71%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Silkeborg

    Thisted FC

    • 2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FA 2000 · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-08-04T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Aabybro · 9-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Middelfart · 1-4 (L)
    • 2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Brabrand · 2-1 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.