Solihull Moors vs Boston United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Solihull Moors and 1.18 for Boston United, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Solihull Moors the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Solihull Moors or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Solihull Moors win44%

Draw26%

Boston United win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Solihull Moors home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Solihull Moors to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Solihull Moors and 1.18 for Boston United, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Solihull Moors

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Boston United · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Harrogate Town · 2-5 (L)
2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Northampton · 2-4 (L)
2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Burton Albion · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hereford · 3-0 (W)

Boston United

Head-to-head

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · Solihull Moors 0-2 Boston United (National League)
2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · Solihull Moors 0-3 Boston United (National League)
2025-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · Solihull Moors 2-1 Boston United (National League)
2025-04-21T14:00:00.000Z · Solihull Moors 3-2 Boston United (National League)
2024-12-26T15:00:00.000Z · Solihull Moors 1-0 Boston United (National League)
2015-11-28T15:00:00.000Z · Solihull Moors 1-0 Boston United (FA Trophy)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.