Damson Park · Analysis updated 23:48 UTC
Solihull Moors vs Boston United Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Solihull Moors and 1.72 for Boston United, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Boston United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
Boston United to Win
49.0% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.1%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–27.7%
- 2–16.8%
Why the model likes this
Solihull Moors home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Boston United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 27% / 24% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.23 goals for Solihull Moors and 1.72 for Boston United, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Solihull Moors
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Boston United · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Harrogate Town · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Northampton · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Burton Albion · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hereford · 3-0 (W)
Boston United
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · Solihull Moors 0-2 Boston United (National League)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · Solihull Moors 0-3 Boston United (National League)
- 2025-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · Solihull Moors 2-1 Boston United (National League)
- 2025-04-21T14:00:00.000Z · Solihull Moors 3-2 Boston United (National League)
- 2024-12-26T15:00:00.000Z · Solihull Moors 1-0 Boston United (National League)
- 2015-11-28T15:00:00.000Z · Solihull Moors 1-0 Boston United (FA Trophy)
National League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Southend | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Boreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Gateshead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Boston United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Worthing | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Aldershot Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Kidderminster Harriers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Yeovil Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Tamworth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | Carlisle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | FC Halifax Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 21 | Altrincham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 22 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 24 | Woking | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.