Staplewood Training Ground · Analysis updated 23:45 UTC
Southampton U18 vs Fulham U18 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Southampton U18 and 1.18 for Fulham U18, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Southampton U18 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Southampton U18 or Draw
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-baseline-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–07.7%
Why the model likes this
Southampton U18 home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Southampton U18 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Southampton U18 and 1.18 for Fulham U18, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Southampton U18
- 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Brentford U18 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-05-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Birmingham City U18 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-06T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Fulham U18 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-02T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Ipswich Town U18 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-04-28T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Aston Villa U18 · 4-3 (W)
Fulham U18
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
U18 Premier League - South table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham Hotspur U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Fulham U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Southampton U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | AFC Bournemouth U18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Aston Villa U18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Arsenal U18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | West Bromwich Albion U18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brentford U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Birmingham City U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 12 | West Ham United U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Ipswich Town U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Reading U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.