City Arena Trnava · Referee P. Ziemba · Analysis updated 03:41 UTC
Spartak Trnava vs Skalica Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.34 for Skalica, a combined total of 3.42. That distribution gives Spartak Trnava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.
Model pick
Spartak Trnava to Win
54.6% probability
Expected goals
2.08 – 1.34
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.5%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–06.8%
- 3–16.6%
Why the model likes this
Skalica away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Spartak Trnava to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 21% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.08 goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.34 for Skalica, a combined 3.42 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 65%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Spartak Trnava
Skalica
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Košice · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Žilina · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Skalica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Žilina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Dunajska Streda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | AS Trencin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Komárno | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 10 | Zemplín Michalovce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Ružomberok | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 |
| 12 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.