Stocksund vs Stockholm Internazionale Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Stocksund and 1.18 for Stockholm Internazionale, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Stocksund the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Stocksund or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Stocksund win44%

Draw26%

Stockholm Internazionale win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Stockholm Internazionale away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stocksund to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Stocksund and 1.18 for Stockholm Internazionale, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Stocksund

Stockholm Internazionale

2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasalund · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Järfälla · 4-0 (W)
2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Enköping · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gefle IF · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-14T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FBK Karlstad · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-06-04T17:30:00.000Z · Stocksund 0-1 Stockholm Internazionale (Svenska Cupen)
2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · Stocksund 1-6 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
2025-09-13T10:00:00.000Z · Stocksund 0-2 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
2025-04-05T11:00:00.000Z · Stocksund 0-5 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
2024-10-27T15:00:00.000Z · Stocksund 0-2 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
2024-04-06T11:00:00.000Z · Stocksund 0-3 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
2023-10-21T14:00:00.000Z · Stocksund 1-3 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
2023-05-27T11:00:00.000Z · Stocksund 1-2 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
2021-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · Stocksund 2-5 Stockholm Internazionale (Division 2 - Norra Svealand)
2021-06-13T13:00:00.000Z · Stocksund 2-3 Stockholm Internazionale (Division 2 - Norra Svealand)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.