Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Sudtirol and 1.07 for Juve Stabia, a combined total of 2.15. That distribution gives Sudtirol the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws roughly 64% of the time.

Model pick

Sudtirol or Draw

65.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.07

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Sudtirol win36%

Draw30%

Juve Stabia win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals63%

Over 2.5 goals36%

Over 3.5 goals17%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

1–113.5%
1–012.6%
0–112.5%
0–011.7%
2–17.3%

Why the model likes this

Juve Stabia away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sudtirol to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 36% / 30% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for Sudtirol and 1.07 for Juve Stabia, a combined 2.15 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 36% and both teams to score at 43%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

Sudtirol

Juve Stabia

2026-08-06T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Cavese · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-31T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Ischia · 5-1 (W)
2026-07-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Potenza · 4-0 (W)
2026-05-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Monza · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Monza · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Serie B table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Venezia	38	24	10	4	46	82
2	Frosinone	38	23	12	3	42	81
3	Monza	38	22	10	6	29	76
4	Palermo	38	20	12	6	28	72
5	Catanzaro	38	15	14	9	11	59
6	Modena	38	15	10	13	13	55
7	Juve Stabia	38	11	18	9	-1	51
8	Avellino	38	13	10	15	-12	49
9	Mantova	38	13	7	18	-12	46
10	Padova	38	12	10	16	-10	46
11	Cesena	38	12	10	16	-11	46
12	Carrarese	38	10	14	14	-5	44
13	Sampdoria	38	11	11	16	-13	44
14	Virtus Entella	38	10	12	16	-15	42
15	Empoli	38	9	14	15	-7	41
16	Sudtirol	38	8	17	13	-10	41
17	Bari	38	10	10	18	-22	40
18	Reggiana	38	9	10	19	-20	37
19	Spezia	38	8	11	19	-16	35
20	Pescara	38	7	14	17	-15	35

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.