AGC Arena Na Stinadlech · Analysis updated 02:43 UTC
Teplice vs FK Jablonec Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Teplice and 1.87 for FK Jablonec, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives FK Jablonec the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
FK Jablonec or Draw
67.1% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.87
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.4%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.4%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.0%
Why the model likes this
Teplice home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FK Jablonec to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 33% / 22% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Teplice and 1.87 for FK Jablonec, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 67%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Teplice
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Plzen · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Liberec · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Ružomberok · 3-0 (W)
FK Jablonec
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Hradec Králové | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Teplice | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Slovan Liberec | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Zbrojovka Brno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Baník Ostrava | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Artis | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Pardubice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 | Zlin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.