Estadio Regional de Los Andes · Analysis updated 23:50 UTC
Trasandino vs Santiago City Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.07 expected goals for Trasandino and 1.50 for Santiago City, a combined total of 3.56. That distribution gives Trasandino the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.
Model pick
Trasandino to Win
50.8% probability
Expected goals
2.07 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.1%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–26.6%
- 3–16.2%
Why the model likes this
Santiago City away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Trasandino to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 21% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.07 goals for Trasandino and 1.50 for Santiago City, a combined 3.56 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 68%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Trasandino
Santiago City
- 2026-08-09T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Colchagua · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-11T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Concón National · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-06-26T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Provincial Ovalle · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-06-20T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Trasandino · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-06-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Colina · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 22 |
| 3 | Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 | Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.