Japan · J2/J3 League · Regular Season - 1707:00

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Saturday, 16 May 2026

JIT Recycle Ink Stadium · Analysis updated 05:01 UTC

Ventforet Kofu vs FC Gifu Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for Ventforet Kofu and 0.80 for FC Gifu, a combined total of 2.27. That distribution gives Ventforet Kofu the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.

Model pick

Ventforet Kofu to Win

52.9% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.47 – 0.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ventforet Kofu win53%
Draw27%
FC Gifu win21%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score42%

Correct score

  • 1–015.2%
  • 1–112.2%
  • 2–011.1%
  • 0–010.4%
  • 2–18.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Ventforet Kofu home form

    2 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Ventforet Kofu to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 27% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.47 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 0.80 for FC Gifu, a combined 2.27 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 40% and both teams to score at 42%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Ventforet Kofu

  • 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Sagan Tosu · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Matsumoto Yamaga · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-06T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-30T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Vegalta Sendai · 0-1 (L)

FC Gifu

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    J2/J3 League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Vegalta Sendai1811521743
    2Blaublitz Akita181125935
    3Shonan Bellmare18846631
    4Yokohama FC18837729
    5Sagamihara18756-228
    6Thespakusatsu Gunma18648-1023
    7Montedio Yamagata186210-522
    8Tochigi City18549-1321
    9Vanraure Hachinohe18468-420
    10Tochigi SC18459-518
    1Ventforet Kofu181035835
    2Consadole Sapporo18927431
    3Iwaki18765431
    4Omiya Ardija189271030
    5Fujieda MYFC18693430
    6FC Gifu18837-228
    7Matsumoto Yamaga186661026
    8Jubilo Iwata18567-725
    9Fukushima United184410-1318
    10Parceiro Nagano183510-1816
    1Kataller Toyama1810531338
    2Albirex Niigata18954435
    3Tokushima Vortis189361432
    4Kochi United18846230
    5Ehime FC18837728
    6Kanazawa18576-627
    7Nara Club18549-921
    8Osaka18387-320
    9Imabari18549-420
    10Kamatamare Sanuki185310-1819
    1Tegevajaro Miyazaki1815212447
    2Kagoshima United18855833
    3Sagan Tosu188641032
    4Renofa Yamaguchi18756229
    5Roasso Kumamoto18828027
    6Gainare Tottori18657-427
    7Oita Trinita18639022
    8Biwako Shiga186210-1321
    9FC Ryukyu18279-1217
    10Kitakyushu184311-1515

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.