· Analysis updated 01:32 UTC
Vindbjart vs Stabæk II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.15 expected goals for Vindbjart and 1.46 for Stabæk II, a combined total of 4.61. That distribution gives Vindbjart the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws roughly 29% of the time.
Model pick
Vindbjart to Win
70.7% probability
Expected goals
3.15 – 1.46
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.6%
- 2–17.2%
- 4–16.0%
- 3–25.5%
- 2–25.3%
Why the model likes this
Vindbjart home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vindbjart to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 15% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.15 goals for Vindbjart and 1.46 for Stabæk II, a combined 4.61 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 73%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Vindbjart
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Åkra · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Madla · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hinna · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-06-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabæk II · 2-3 (L)
Stabæk II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 4 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | Vindbjart | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 29 |
| 3 | Flekkerøy | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 | Mandalskameratene | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Viking II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 24 |
| 6 | Varhaug | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 |
| 7 | Brodd | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | Stabæk II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Staal Jørpeland | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 19 |
| 10 | Haugesund II | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 18 |
| 11 | Våg | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -8 | 16 |
| 12 | Hinna | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -18 | 16 |
| 13 | Åkra | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -24 | 14 |
| 14 | Odd II | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.