Lemonsoft Stadion · Analysis updated 02:41 UTC
VPS II vs SJK-juniorit Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for VPS II and 1.55 for SJK-juniorit, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives VPS II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.
Model pick
VPS II to Win
55.5% probability
Expected goals
2.35 – 1.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.7%
- 1–17.4%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–25.7%
Why the model likes this
VPS II home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates VPS II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 20% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.35 goals for VPS II and 1.55 for SJK-juniorit, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 71%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
VPS II
- 2026-08-15T13:30:00.000Z · H vs JS Hercules · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Vaajakoski · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Jaro 2 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs JBK · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs SJK-juniorit · 6-2 (W)
SJK-juniorit
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.