Finland · Kakkonen - Lohko C · Group C16:00

62

Sunday, 19 July 2026

Lemonsoft Stadion · Analysis updated 02:41 UTC

VPS II vs SJK-juniorit Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for VPS II and 1.55 for SJK-juniorit, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives VPS II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.

Model pick

VPS II to Win

55.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.35 – 1.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

VPS II win56%
Draw20%
SJK-juniorit win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Both teams to score71%

Correct score

  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–25.7%

Why the model likes this

  • VPS II home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates VPS II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 20% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.35 goals for VPS II and 1.55 for SJK-juniorit, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 71%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

VPS II

  • 2026-08-15T13:30:00.000Z · H vs JS Hercules · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Vaajakoski · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Jaro 2 · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs JBK · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs SJK-juniorit · 6-2 (W)

SJK-juniorit

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.