Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Group 3 - 2714:00

22

Saturday, 9 May 2026

Sportplatz Moos · Analysis updated 00:50 UTC

Wettswil-Bonstetten vs Kosova Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Wettswil-Bonstetten and 1.18 for Kosova, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Wettswil-Bonstetten the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Wettswil-Bonstetten or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Wettswil-Bonstetten win44%
Draw26%
Kosova win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Kosova away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 9 meetings.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wettswil-Bonstetten to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Wettswil-Bonstetten and 1.18 for Kosova, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Wettswil-Bonstetten

    Kosova

    • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Collina d'Oro · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Mendrisio · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Widnau · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Collina d'Oro · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-05-13T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Freienbach · 3-3 (D)

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · Wettswil-Bonstetten 2-2 Kosova (1. Liga Classic - Group 3)
    • 2025-11-01T15:00:00.000Z · Wettswil-Bonstetten 2-0 Kosova (1. Liga Classic - Group 3)
    • 2025-03-01T15:00:00.000Z · Wettswil-Bonstetten 0-0 Kosova (1. Liga Classic - Group 3)
    • 2024-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · Wettswil-Bonstetten 2-0 Kosova (1. Liga Classic - Group 3)
    • 2024-03-09T17:00:00.000Z · Wettswil-Bonstetten 3-0 Kosova (1. Liga Classic - Group 3)
    • 2023-08-26T14:00:00.000Z · Wettswil-Bonstetten 1-3 Kosova (1. Liga Classic - Group 3)
    • 2023-03-05T15:00:00.000Z · Wettswil-Bonstetten 0-2 Kosova (1. Liga Classic - Group 3)
    • 2022-08-31T18:00:00.000Z · Wettswil-Bonstetten 2-1 Kosova (1. Liga Classic - Group 3)
    • 2020-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · Wettswil-Bonstetten 2-0 Kosova (1. Liga Classic - Group 3)

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.