Lithuania · 1 Lyga · Regular Season - 2117:00
Žalgiris IIWWDWW

17:00 UTC

Tuesday, 25 August 2026

· Analysis updated 04:10 UTC

Žalgiris II vs Transinvest 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.57 expected goals for Žalgiris II and 0.99 for Transinvest 2, a combined total of 3.56. That distribution gives Žalgiris II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws roughly 29% of the time.

Model pick

Žalgiris II to Win

71.4% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.57 – 0.99

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Žalgiris II win71%
Draw16%
Transinvest 2 win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 2–09.4%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 3–08.0%
  • 3–18.0%
  • 1–07.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Transinvest 2 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Žalgiris II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 16% / 12% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.57 goals for Žalgiris II and 0.99 for Transinvest 2, a combined 3.56 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 58%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Žalgiris II

    Transinvest 2

    • 2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atmosfera · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFA · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Babrungas · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dainava · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Neptūną Klaipėda · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Minija2017124252
    2Babrungas2016313051
    3Tauras2012261438
    4Neptūną Klaipėda201226338
    5Dainava1910541435
    6Be1 NFA191126735
    7BFA201028032
    8Žalgiris II20947331
    9Atmosfera19748525
    10Jonava20659-223
    11Garliava19649322
    12Transinvest 2205312-2618
    13Hegelmann II205114-2416
    14Kauno Žalgiris II204115-1913
    15Ekranas203215-2311
    16FA Šiauliai II202513-2711

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.