Stadion Herti Allmend · Analysis updated 02:40 UTC
Zug vs Delémont Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Zug and 1.85 for Delémont, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Delémont the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.
Model pick
Delémont to Win
47.9% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–17.2%
- 2–17.1%
- 0–26.6%
Why the model likes this
Zug home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Delémont to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 29% / 23% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Zug and 1.85 for Delémont, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Zug
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Wohlen · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Schötz · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bassecourt · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Concordia Basel · 2-4 (L)
Delémont
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Concordia Basel | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Solothurn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Delémont | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Wohlen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Muri-Gümligen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Grasshopper II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Buochs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Muttenz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Black Stars | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Langenthal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Courtételle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Thun II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Schötz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Bassecourt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Münsingen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Zug | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.