Albalonga vs Ischia Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.02 expected goals for Albalonga and 1.19 for Ischia, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives Albalonga the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.

Model pick

Albalonga to Win

56.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.02 – 1.19

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Albalonga win57%

Draw21%

Ischia win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

2–19.8%
1–19.7%
2–08.2%
1–08.2%
3–16.6%

Why the model likes this

Ischia away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Albalonga to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 21% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.02 goals for Albalonga and 1.19 for Ischia, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 60%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Albalonga

Ischia

2026-07-31T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Juve Stabia · 1-5 (L)
2026-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Olbia · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nocerina · 1-0 (W)
2026-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Montespaccato · 1-0 (W)
2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs USD Palmese · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Serie D - Girone G table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	34	27	6	1	52	87
2	Trastevere	34	17	9	8	18	60
3	Monastir	34	15	8	11	7	53
4	Flaminia	34	13	12	9	16	51
5	Albalonga	34	14	8	12	1	50
6	Latte Dolce	34	14	6	14	0	48
7	Valmontone	34	14	6	14	-1	48
8	Nocerina	34	11	14	9	3	47
9	Sarrabus Ogliastra	34	12	10	12	-4	46
10	Budoni	34	12	9	13	2	45
11	USD Palmese	34	11	12	11	-2	45
12	Atletico Lodigiani	34	11	11	12	3	44
13	Ischia	34	12	7	15	-16	43
14	Anzio	34	10	11	13	-5	41
15	Olbia	34	8	14	12	-12	38
16	Real Monterotondo	34	10	6	18	-19	36
17	Montespaccato	34	6	12	16	-11	30
18	Cassino	34	4	9	21	-32	21

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.