· Analysis updated 05:01 UTC
Bospor Bohumín vs Valašské Meziříčí Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.51 expected goals for Bospor Bohumín and 1.82 for Valašské Meziříčí, a combined total of 5.32. That distribution gives Bospor Bohumín the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws roughly 31% of the time.
Model pick
Bospor Bohumín to Win
69.3% probability
Expected goals
3.51 – 1.82
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
31%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–16.4%
- 3–25.8%
- 4–15.6%
- 2–15.4%
- 4–25.1%
Why the model likes this
Valašské Meziříčí away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bospor Bohumín to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 14% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.51 goals for Bospor Bohumín and 1.82 for Valašské Meziříčí, a combined 5.32 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 89% and both teams to score at 80%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Recent form
Bospor Bohumín
Valašské Meziříčí
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Šumperk · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Uničov · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Kravare · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Horni Becva · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Frýdek-Místek · 1-8 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kravare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Nový Jičín | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Šumperk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Pustá Polom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Bospor Bohumín | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Zabreh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Hlučín | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bílovec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Opava II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Stonava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Valašské Meziříčí | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Frydek-Mistek B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Vratimov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Břidličná | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.