Bospor Bohumín vs Valašské Meziříčí Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.51 expected goals for Bospor Bohumín and 1.82 for Valašské Meziříčí, a combined total of 5.32. That distribution gives Bospor Bohumín the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws roughly 31% of the time.

Model pick

Bospor Bohumín to Win

69.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

3.51 – 1.82

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bospor Bohumín win69%

Draw14%

Valašské Meziříčí win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

31%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%

Over 2.5 goals89%

Over 3.5 goals77%

Both teams to score80%

Correct score

3–16.4%
3–25.8%
4–15.6%
2–15.4%
4–25.1%

Why the model likes this

Valašské Meziříčí away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bospor Bohumín to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 14% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.51 goals for Bospor Bohumín and 1.82 for Valašské Meziříčí, a combined 5.32 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 89% and both teams to score at 80%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

Recent form

Bospor Bohumín

Valašské Meziříčí

2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Šumperk · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Uničov · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Kravare · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Horni Becva · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Frýdek-Místek · 1-8 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie F table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Havířov	29	19	2	8	38	59
2	Vratimov	29	17	3	9	15	54
3	Bospor Bohumín	29	15	8	6	28	53
4	Bílovec	29	15	8	6	14	53
5	Stonava	29	14	6	9	10	48
6	Valašské Meziříčí	29	11	8	10	-4	41
7	Zabreh	30	9	12	9	3	39
8	Šumperk	29	9	12	8	-2	39
9	Opava II	30	11	5	14	-3	38
10	Frýdlant	30	9	11	10	-9	38
11	Jiskra Rýmařov	30	11	4	15	-13	37
12	Petřvald na Moravě	29	9	9	11	3	36
13	Nový Jičín	29	8	12	9	-5	36
14	Břidličná	30	7	10	13	-12	31
15	Pustá Polom	29	5	9	15	-23	24
16	Cesky Tesin	29	2	7	20	-41	13

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.