Alfredo Ramos stadium · Analysis updated 03:37 UTC
Comunicaciones vs Arsenal Sarandi Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.89 expected goals for Comunicaciones and 1.13 for Arsenal Sarandi, a combined total of 2.02. That distribution gives Arsenal Sarandi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.
Model pick
Arsenal Sarandi or Draw
71.3% probability
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.9%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–013.2%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–28.4%
Why the model likes this
Comunicaciones home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Arsenal Sarandi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 29% / 30% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.89 goals for Comunicaciones and 1.13 for Arsenal Sarandi, a combined 2.02 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 33% and both teams to score at 40%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.
Recent form
Comunicaciones
- 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs San Martín Burzaco · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-07T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Villa San Carlos · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Liniers · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Pilar · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs UAI Urquiza · 2-0 (W)
Arsenal Sarandi
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Talleres Remedios | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 56 |
| 3 | Deportivo Camioneros | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 55 |
| 5 | Arsenal Sarandi | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 52 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Laferrere | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | -1 | 41 |
| 10 | Comunicaciones | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 40 |
| 11 | Argentino de Merlo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -12 | 38 |
| 13 | San Martín Burzaco | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Dock Sud | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 36 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | -3 | 34 |
| 16 | Liniers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | -8 | 32 |
| 17 | Brown DE Adrogue | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Villa San Carlos | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -7 | 29 |
| 19 | Flandria | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -13 | 29 |
| 20 | UAI Urquiza | 29 | 3 | 18 | 8 | -10 | 27 |
| 21 | Defensores Unidos | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -11 | 26 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | -28 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.