Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Regular Season - 2318:00

12

Saturday, 4 July 2026

Alfredo Ramos stadium · Analysis updated 03:33 UTC

Comunicaciones vs Arsenal Sarandi Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.89 expected goals for Comunicaciones and 1.13 for Arsenal Sarandi, a combined total of 2.02. That distribution gives Arsenal Sarandi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Arsenal Sarandi or Draw

71.3% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.89 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Comunicaciones win29%
Draw30%
Arsenal Sarandi win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals60%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 0–114.9%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–013.2%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 0–28.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Comunicaciones home form

    1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Arsenal Sarandi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 29% / 30% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.89 goals for Comunicaciones and 1.13 for Arsenal Sarandi, a combined 2.02 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 33% and both teams to score at 40%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Comunicaciones

  • 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs San Martín Burzaco · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-07T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Villa San Carlos · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Liniers · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Pilar · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs UAI Urquiza · 2-0 (W)

Arsenal Sarandi

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Primera B Metropolitana table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Excursionistas3016862256
    2Talleres Remedios3016861856
    3Deportivo Camioneros30151051755
    4Villa Dalmine30151051755
    5Arsenal Sarandi30141151753
    6Sportivo Italiano30141061452
    7Real Pilar301299245
    8Deportivo Laferrere3011910-342
    9Deportivo Armenio2911810-141
    10Comunicaciones30101010240
    11Argentino de Merlo3010911039
    12Deportivo Merlo3091110-1238
    13San Martín Burzaco308139-237
    14Dock Sud3081210136
    15Argentino Quilmes297139-334
    16Liniers2971111-832
    17Brown DE Adrogue3071013-1231
    18Villa San Carlos2961112-729
    19Flandria307815-1329
    20UAI Urquiza293188-1027
    21Defensores Unidos2951113-1126
    22Ituzaingó3011019-2813

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.