EVV vs SteDoCo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for EVV and 1.65 for SteDoCo, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives SteDoCo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

SteDoCo to Win

46.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

EVV win29%

Draw24%

SteDoCo win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–111.3%
1–29.4%
0–19.1%
0–27.5%
2–17.1%

Why the model likes this

EVV home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SteDoCo away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SteDoCo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 29% / 24% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for EVV and 1.65 for SteDoCo, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

EVV

2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Ijsselmeervogels · 3-10 (L)
2026-07-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs MVV · 2-2 (D)
2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs SteDoCo · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs SteDoCo · 1-0 (W)
2026-05-31T12:00:00.000Z · H vs HV & CV Quick · 1-3 (L)

SteDoCo

2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs EVV · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs EVV · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-30T12:30:00.000Z · H vs FC 's-Gravenzande · 3-1 (W)
2026-05-27T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FC 's-Gravenzande · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kloetinge · 1-5 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · EVV 1-1 SteDoCo (Derde Divisie - Relegation Round)
2026-06-03T18:00:00.000Z · EVV 1-0 SteDoCo (Derde Divisie - Relegation Round)

Derde Divisie - Relegation Round table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ROHDA Raalte	34	20	7	7	27	67
2	DVS 33 Ermelo	34	17	11	6	20	62
3	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	4	11	41	61
4	ADO '20	34	17	9	8	10	60
5	SC Genemuiden	34	17	5	12	9	56
6	Staphorst	34	17	3	14	10	54
7	Harkemase Boys	34	14	10	10	12	52
8	Dovo	34	15	7	12	10	52
9	Eemdijk	34	14	8	12	9	50
10	VV Scherpenzeel	34	14	7	13	10	49
11	Hoogeveen	34	14	6	14	-10	48
12	Sportlust '46	34	14	5	15	2	47
13	Hercules	34	13	5	16	-4	44
14	Excelsior '31	34	12	4	18	-8	40
15	Huizen	34	11	7	16	-12	40
16	TEC	34	12	4	18	-16	40
17	URK	34	8	7	19	-36	31
18	Hsc 21	34	1	5	28	-74	8
1	Kloetinge	34	22	7	5	25	73
2	FC Lisse	34	20	8	6	34	68
3	Vvsb	34	21	5	8	33	68
4	Rijnvogels	34	19	7	8	24	64
5	Gemert	34	17	10	7	25	61
6	Roosendaal	34	15	9	10	13	54
7	TOGB	34	15	8	11	3	53
8	Zwaluwen	34	15	6	13	13	51
9	Blauw Geel	34	14	6	14	2	48
10	Noordwijk	34	12	8	14	5	44
11	UDI '19	34	11	6	17	-17	39
12	UNA	34	10	8	16	-8	38
13	GOES	34	10	7	17	-18	37
14	Groene Ster	34	10	6	18	-19	36
15	SteDoCo	34	10	4	20	-34	34
16	SVV Scheveningen	34	9	5	20	-16	32
17	Meerssen	34	8	7	19	-23	31
18	ASWH	34	6	7	21	-42	25

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.