Lithuania · 1 Lyga · Regular Season - 1314:00

12

Sunday, 14 June 2026

Siauliai Gytariu stadium · Analysis updated 07:09 UTC

FA Šiauliai II vs Transinvest 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.69 expected goals for FA Šiauliai II and 1.47 for Transinvest 2, a combined total of 3.17. That distribution gives FA Šiauliai II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.

Model pick

FA Šiauliai II or Draw

66.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.47

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FA Šiauliai II win43%
Draw23%
Transinvest 2 win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 1–07.1%
  • 2–26.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Transinvest 2 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FA Šiauliai II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 23% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.69 goals for FA Šiauliai II and 1.47 for Transinvest 2, a combined 3.17 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

FA Šiauliai II

    Transinvest 2

    • 2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atmosfera · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFA · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Babrungas · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dainava · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Neptūną Klaipėda · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Minija2017124252
    2Babrungas2016313051
    3Tauras2012261438
    4Neptūną Klaipėda201226338
    5Dainava1910541435
    6Be1 NFA191126735
    7BFA201028032
    8Žalgiris II20947331
    9Atmosfera19748525
    10Jonava20659-223
    11Garliava19649322
    12Transinvest 2205312-2618
    13Hegelmann II205114-2416
    14Kauno Žalgiris II204115-1913
    15Ekranas203215-2311
    16FA Šiauliai II202513-2711

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.