Granada CF vs Mallorca Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for Granada CF and 0.83 for Mallorca, a combined total of 1.53. That distribution gives Mallorca the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 36%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 20% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws roughly 64% of the time.

Model pick

Granada CF or Draw

64.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.70 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Granada CF win28%

Draw36%

Mallorca win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

64%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals45%

Over 2.5 goals20%

Over 3.5 goals7%

Both teams to score28%

Correct score

0–021.6%
0–118.0%
1–015.1%
1–112.6%
0–27.5%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 28% / 36% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.70 goals for Granada CF and 0.83 for Mallorca, a combined 1.53 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 20% and both teams to score at 28%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%.
Model confidence
Granada CF or Draw is the headline pick at 64% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Granada CF

Mallorca

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Segunda División table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Andorra	1	1	0	0	4	3
2	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	2	3
3	Castellón	1	1	0	0	1	3
4	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	0	1
5	Celta de Vigo II	1	0	1	0	0	1
6	Granada CF	1	0	1	0	0	1
7	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	0	1
8	Sporting Gijon	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Las Palmas	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Tenerife	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Albacete	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Eibar	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Burgos	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Almeria	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Girona	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Leganes	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sabadell	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Eldense	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Real Sociedad II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	AD Ceuta FC	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.