Stade Parsemain · Analysis updated 07:07 UTC
Istres vs Limonest Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Istres and 1.13 for Limonest, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Istres the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
Istres to Win
45.2% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–08.1%
Why the model likes this
Istres home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Istres to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 26% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Istres and 1.13 for Limonest, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Istres
- 2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Chasselay MDA · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Nimes · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-01T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Creteil · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Grasse · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-17T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bobigny · 1-0 (W)
Limonest
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.