Kalisz vs Unia Skierniewice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Kalisz and 1.18 for Unia Skierniewice, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Kalisz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Kalisz or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Kalisz win44%

Draw26%

Unia Skierniewice win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Kalisz home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kalisz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Kalisz and 1.18 for Unia Skierniewice, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Kalisz

2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kotwica Kórnik · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Unia Swarzędz · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Łęczna · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Flota Świnoujście · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lech Poznań II · 2-2 (D)

Unia Skierniewice

2026-08-10T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Arka Gdynia · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-05T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Sokół Kleczew · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-01T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Warszawa · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Mielec · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-18T11:15:00.000Z · H vs Kalisz · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

II Liga - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Unia Skierniewice	34	21	5	8	24	68
2	Warta Poznań	34	17	13	4	20	64
3	Olimpia Grudziądz	34	18	10	6	27	64
4	Podbeskidzie	34	17	7	10	21	58
5	Śląsk Wrocław II	34	16	7	11	16	55
6	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	34	14	13	7	14	55
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	13	14	7	11	53
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	34	14	10	10	11	52
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	34	12	10	12	-3	46
10	Stal Stalowa Wola	34	10	16	8	13	46
11	Hutnik Kraków	34	12	10	12	7	46
12	Świt Skolwin	34	12	8	14	-8	44
13	Resovia Rzeszów	34	10	12	12	1	42
14	Sokół Kleczew	34	10	7	17	-15	37
15	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	34	9	7	18	-24	34
16	Kalisz	34	8	10	16	-18	34
17	ŁKS Łódź II	34	5	10	19	-31	25
18	Jastrzębie	34	0	7	27	-66	6

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.