Kluczbork vs Goczałkowice Zdrój Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Kluczbork and 1.05 for Goczałkowice Zdrój, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Kluczbork the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.

Model pick

Kluczbork to Win

52.6% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Kluczbork win53%

Draw24%

Goczałkowice Zdrój win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–111.4%
1–010.9%
2–19.7%
2–09.2%
0–16.7%

Why the model likes this

Goczałkowice Zdrój away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kluczbork to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 24% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.70 goals for Kluczbork and 1.05 for Goczałkowice Zdrój, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Kluczbork

Goczałkowice Zdrój

2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ślęza Wrocław · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Brzeg · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-18T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

III Liga - Group 3 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lechia Zielona Góra	34	21	10	3	60	73
2	Górnik Polkowice	34	20	7	7	22	67
3	Sparta Katowice	34	18	8	8	19	62
4	SKRA Częstochowa	34	17	8	9	12	59
5	Zagłębie Lubin II	34	17	6	11	16	57
6	Goczałkowice Zdrój	34	15	9	10	3	54
7	Kluczbork	34	15	8	12	24	52
8	Warta Gorzów	34	15	8	12	7	52
9	Górnik Zabrze II	34	15	6	13	29	51
10	Ślęza Wrocław	34	14	8	13	-8	49
11	Słowianin	34	13	9	12	-1	48
12	Carina Gubin	34	12	11	11	-1	47
13	Miedź Legnica II	34	13	7	14	5	46
14	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	34	12	9	13	1	45
15	Polonia Nysa	34	9	10	15	-7	37
16	Starowice Dolne	34	7	6	21	-48	27
17	Pawłowice Śląskie	34	5	5	25	-49	20
18	Stal Jasień	34	2	1	31	-84	7

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.