Leek Town vs Whitby Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Leek Town and 0.98 for Whitby Town, a combined total of 2.38. That distribution gives Leek Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Leek Town to Win

46.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.40 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Leek Town win47%

Draw27%

Whitby Town win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Both teams to score47%

Correct score

1–013.0%
1–112.7%
0–09.3%
2–09.1%
0–19.1%

Why the model likes this

Leek Town home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Whitby Town away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Leek Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 27% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Leek Town and 0.98 for Whitby Town, a combined 2.38 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Leek Town

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stockton Town · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · A vs United of Manchester · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Whitby Town · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-31T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Runcorn Linnets · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stalybridge Celtic · 1-1 (D)

Whitby Town

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ilkeston Town · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Guiseley AFC · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leek Town · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-10T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Bridlington Town · 2-2 (D)
2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cleethorpes Town · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.