Sportplatz Leobendorf · Analysis updated 01:49 UTC
Leobendorf vs Traiskirchen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Leobendorf and 1.20 for Traiskirchen, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Leobendorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.
Model pick
Leobendorf to Win
47.3% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.1%
Why the model likes this
Traiskirchen away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Leobendorf to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 25% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for Leobendorf and 1.20 for Traiskirchen, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Leobendorf
Traiskirchen
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Fach-Donaufeld · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-07-24T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bleiburg · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-07-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Leithaprodersdorf · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-06-03T17:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 5-1 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2025-11-21T18:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 1-0 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2025-02-28T18:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 2-2 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2024-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · Leobendorf 1-2 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2024-03-23T15:00:00.000Z · Leobendorf 3-1 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2023-08-25T17:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 2-3 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2023-04-18T17:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 0-1 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2022-09-24T14:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 1-0 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2022-04-15T17:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 1-0 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2021-09-04T14:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 3-3 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
Regionalliga - Ost table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wiener SC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Scheiblingkirchen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Oberwart | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Gloggnitz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Fach-Donaufeld | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Parndorf | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Leobendorf | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | SV Horn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Traiskirchen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Wiener Viktoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Favoritner AC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Krems / Rehberg | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Donau | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 15 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.