Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · Ost - 3417:30
LeobendorfWLLLW

51

Wednesday, 3 June 2026

TraiskirchenLLLWW

Sportplatz Leobendorf · Analysis updated 02:38 UTC

Leobendorf vs Traiskirchen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.74 expected goals for Leobendorf and 1.40 for Traiskirchen, a combined total of 3.14. That distribution gives Leobendorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Leobendorf to Win

45.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Leobendorf win46%
Draw23%
Traiskirchen win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–06.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Traiskirchen away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Leobendorf to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 23% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.74 goals for Leobendorf and 1.40 for Traiskirchen, a combined 3.14 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Leobendorf

    Traiskirchen

    • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 4-3 (W)
    • 2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Fach-Donaufeld · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 3-3 (D)
    • 2026-07-24T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bleiburg · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Leithaprodersdorf · 2-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-06-03T17:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 5-1 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
    • 2025-11-21T18:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 1-0 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
    • 2025-02-28T18:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 2-2 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
    • 2024-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · Leobendorf 1-2 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
    • 2024-03-23T15:00:00.000Z · Leobendorf 3-1 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
    • 2023-08-25T17:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 2-3 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
    • 2023-04-18T17:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 0-1 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
    • 2022-09-24T14:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 1-0 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
    • 2022-04-15T17:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 1-0 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)
    • 2021-09-04T14:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 3-3 Traiskirchen (Regionalliga - Ost)

    Regionalliga - Ost table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Parndorf3218862462
    2Gloggnitz3218861362
    3Krems / Rehberg3217782858
    4Leobendorf32183111457
    5Oberwart32175103156
    6SV Horn3214992251
    7Traiskirchen32148101850
    8Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf32131091849
    9Fach-Donaufeld3213811747
    10Wiener SC3213712246
    11Wiener Viktoria3213613-145
    12Donau3212812-744
    13Favoritner AC3212317-839
    14Union Mauer3210715-1537
    15Neusiedl328519-2629
    16Retz324820-3920
    17TWL Elektra322228-818

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.