Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie F · Division F - 2615:00

22

Saturday, 16 May 2026

· Analysis updated 05:53 UTC

Nový Jičín vs Valašské Meziříčí Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Nový Jičín and 1.35 for Valašské Meziříčí, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Nový Jičín the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws roughly 63% of the time.

Model pick

Nový Jičín or Draw

62.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Nový Jičín win37%
Draw26%
Valašské Meziříčí win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Valašské Meziříčí away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Nový Jičín to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 26% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.35 goals for Nový Jičín and 1.35 for Valašské Meziříčí, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 51% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Nový Jičín

    Valašské Meziříčí

    • 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Šumperk · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Uničov · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Kravare · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Horni Becva · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Frýdek-Místek · 1-8 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    4. liga - Divizie F table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Havířov2919283859
    2Vratimov2917391554
    3Bospor Bohumín2915862853
    4Bílovec2915861453
    5Stonava2914691048
    6Valašské Meziříčí2911810-441
    7Zabreh309129339
    8Šumperk299128-239
    9Opava II3011514-338
    10Frýdlant3091110-938
    11Jiskra Rýmařov3011415-1337
    12Petřvald na Moravě299911336
    13Nový Jičín298129-536
    14Břidličná3071013-1231
    15Pustá Polom295915-2324
    16Cesky Tesin292720-4113

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.