Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · Ost - 3217:30
OberwartWLW

30

Friday, 22 May 2026

Informstadion · Analysis updated 02:41 UTC

Oberwart vs Traiskirchen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.46 expected goals for Oberwart and 1.61 for Traiskirchen, a combined total of 4.07. That distribution gives Oberwart the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.

Model pick

Oberwart to Win

56.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.46 – 1.61

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Oberwart win56%
Draw19%
Traiskirchen win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals58%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 2–18.3%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 1–16.8%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 3–25.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Traiskirchen away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Oberwart to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 19% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.46 goals for Oberwart and 1.61 for Traiskirchen, a combined 4.07 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 73%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Oberwart

    Traiskirchen

    • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 4-3 (W)
    • 2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Fach-Donaufeld · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 3-3 (D)
    • 2026-07-24T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bleiburg · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Leithaprodersdorf · 2-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Regionalliga - Ost table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Wiener SC330069
    2Scheiblingkirchen321027
    3Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf320176
    4Oberwart320136
    5Gloggnitz320116
    6Fach-Donaufeld3201-16
    7Parndorf312055
    8Leobendorf312015
    9SV Horn311124
    10Traiskirchen311104
    11Wiener Viktoria310203
    12Favoritner AC3102-23
    13Krems / Rehberg3021-22
    14Donau3012-81
    15Mattersburg SV 20203003-50
    16Wienerberg3003-90

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.