Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · Ost - 3217:30
OberwartWDWWW

30

Friday, 22 May 2026

TraiskirchenLLLWW

Informstadion · Analysis updated 02:39 UTC

Oberwart vs Traiskirchen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.52 expected goals for Oberwart and 1.66 for Traiskirchen, a combined total of 4.19. That distribution gives Oberwart the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.

Model pick

Oberwart to Win

56.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.52 – 1.66

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Oberwart win57%
Draw19%
Traiskirchen win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals60%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 2–18.0%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–16.4%
  • 3–25.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Traiskirchen away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Oberwart to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 19% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.52 goals for Oberwart and 1.66 for Traiskirchen, a combined 4.19 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 79% and both teams to score at 74%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Oberwart

    Traiskirchen

    • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 4-3 (W)
    • 2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Fach-Donaufeld · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 3-3 (D)
    • 2026-07-24T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bleiburg · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Leithaprodersdorf · 2-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Regionalliga - Ost table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Parndorf3218862462
    2Gloggnitz3218861362
    3Krems / Rehberg3217782858
    4Leobendorf32183111457
    5Oberwart32175103156
    6SV Horn3214992251
    7Traiskirchen32148101850
    8Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf32131091849
    9Fach-Donaufeld3213811747
    10Wiener SC3213712246
    11Wiener Viktoria3213613-145
    12Donau3212812-744
    13Favoritner AC3212317-839
    14Union Mauer3210715-1537
    15Neusiedl328519-2629
    16Retz324820-3920
    17TWL Elektra322228-818

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.