Sweden · Ettan - Norra · Norra - 1012:00
PiteåDLLDL

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Sunday, 31 May 2026

LF Arena · Analysis updated 02:59 UTC

Piteå vs Stockholm Internazionale Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.92 expected goals for Piteå and 2.22 for Stockholm Internazionale, a combined total of 3.14. That distribution gives Stockholm Internazionale the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.

Model pick

Stockholm Internazionale to Win

66.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.92 – 2.22

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Piteå win14%
Draw19%
Stockholm Internazionale win67%

Double chance 1X

33%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

86%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 0–210.6%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 0–37.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Stockholm Internazionale away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Stockholm Internazionale to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 14% / 19% / 67% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.92 goals for Piteå and 2.22 for Stockholm Internazionale, a combined 3.14 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 54%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Piteå

    Stockholm Internazionale

    • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasalund · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Järfälla · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Enköping · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gefle IF · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-14T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FBK Karlstad · 3-1 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Ettan - Norra table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Hammarby Talang1711333036
    2IF Karlstad1711331536
    3Stockholm Internazionale169341630
    4Arlanda16862930
    5AFC Eskilstuna17845328
    6Enköping16916128
    7FBK Karlstad16745125
    8Karlberg17737324
    9Assyriska FF17656023
    10Gefle IF17629-1320
    11Vasalund16547-819
    12Sollentuna17386-917
    13Umeå FC17449-916
    14Järfälla174310-1415
    15Stocksund172510-711
    16Piteå162410-1810

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.