LF Arena · Analysis updated 03:52 UTC
Piteå vs Stockholm Internazionale Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.92 expected goals for Piteå and 2.22 for Stockholm Internazionale, a combined total of 3.14. That distribution gives Stockholm Internazionale the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.
Model pick
Stockholm Internazionale to Win
66.8% probability
Expected goals
0.92 – 2.22
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
33%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–210.6%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–18.8%
- 0–37.9%
Why the model likes this
Stockholm Internazionale away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stockholm Internazionale to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 14% / 19% / 67% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.92 goals for Piteå and 2.22 for Stockholm Internazionale, a combined 3.14 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 54%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
Piteå
Stockholm Internazionale
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasalund · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Järfälla · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Enköping · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gefle IF · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-14T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FBK Karlstad · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ettan - Norra table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby Talang | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 36 |
| 2 | IF Karlstad | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | Stockholm Internazionale | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | Arlanda | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 30 |
| 5 | AFC Eskilstuna | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 28 |
| 6 | Enköping | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | FBK Karlstad | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 25 |
| 8 | Karlberg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | Assyriska FF | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 23 |
| 10 | Gefle IF | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Vasalund | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Sollentuna | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -9 | 17 |
| 13 | Umeå FC | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Järfälla | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 | Stocksund | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Piteå | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -18 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.