Brazil · Paranaense - 3 · Regular Season - 118:30

24

Saturday, 25 July 2026

· Analysis updated 02:49 UTC

Portuguesa Londrinense vs PSTC Procopense Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.41 expected goals for Portuguesa Londrinense and 1.42 for PSTC Procopense, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives PSTC Procopense the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

PSTC Procopense or Draw

62.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.42

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Portuguesa Londrinense win37%
Draw25%
PSTC Procopense win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–08.3%

Why the model likes this

  • PSTC Procopense away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates PSTC Procopense to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 37% / 25% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.41 goals for Portuguesa Londrinense and 1.42 for PSTC Procopense, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Portuguesa Londrinense

    PSTC Procopense

    • 2026-08-15T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Cambé · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · H vs City London · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-01T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Cambé · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-25T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Portuguesa Londrinense · 4-2 (W)
    • 2025-06-07T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Paranavaí · 1-3 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Paranaense - 3 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1City London330069
    2AA Iguaçu330049
    3União PR211014
    4Hope Internacional311104
    5Iraty311104
    6Oeste Brasil210113
    7PSTC Procopense3102-13
    8Cambé3102-23
    9Portuguesa Londrinense3102-33
    10Campo Mourão2011-21
    11Samas3003-40

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.