Brazil · Paranaense - 3 · Regular Season - 118:30

24

Saturday, 25 July 2026

· Analysis updated 03:40 UTC

Portuguesa Londrinense vs PSTC Procopense Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Portuguesa Londrinense and 1.12 for PSTC Procopense, a combined total of 2.37. That distribution gives Portuguesa Londrinense the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

Portuguesa Londrinense or Draw

66.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.12

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Portuguesa Londrinense win39%
Draw28%
PSTC Procopense win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams to score48%

Correct score

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 2–18.2%

Why the model likes this

  • PSTC Procopense away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Portuguesa Londrinense to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 28% / 33% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.25 goals for Portuguesa Londrinense and 1.12 for PSTC Procopense, a combined 2.37 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 48%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Portuguesa Londrinense

    PSTC Procopense

    • 2026-08-15T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Cambé · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · H vs City London · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-01T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Cambé · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-25T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Portuguesa Londrinense · 4-2 (W)
    • 2025-06-07T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Paranavaí · 1-3 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Paranaense - 3 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1City London430159
    2AA Iguaçu330049
    3Portuguesa Londrinense4202-26
    4União PR211014
    5Hope Internacional311104
    6Iraty4112-14
    7PSTC Procopense4112-14
    8Cambé4112-24
    9Oeste Brasil210113
    10Samas4103-33
    11Campo Mourão2011-21

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.