Púchov vs Baník Prievidza Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Púchov and 1.35 for Baník Prievidza, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Púchov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.

Model pick

Púchov to Win

62.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.50 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Púchov win63%

Draw18%

Baník Prievidza win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals74%

Over 3.5 goals54%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

2–19.0%
3–17.5%
1–17.2%
2–06.6%
2–26.1%

Why the model likes this

Púchov home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Púchov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 18% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Púchov and 1.35 for Baník Prievidza, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 68%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Púchov

2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nitra · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-18T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Prievidza · 2-2 (D)
2026-06-27T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Třinec · 2-3 (L)
2026-05-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Považská Bystrica · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Liptovský Mikuláš · 0-3 (L)

Baník Prievidza

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.