Púchov vs Baník Prievidza Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Púchov and 1.35 for Baník Prievidza, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Púchov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.

Model pick

Púchov to Win

62.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.50 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Púchov win63%

Draw18%

Baník Prievidza win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals74%

Over 3.5 goals54%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

2–19.0%
3–17.5%
1–17.2%
2–06.6%
2–26.1%

Why the model likes this

Púchov home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Púchov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 18% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Púchov and 1.35 for Baník Prievidza, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 68%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Púchov

2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nitra · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-18T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Prievidza · 2-2 (D)
2026-06-27T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Třinec · 2-3 (L)
2026-05-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Považská Bystrica · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Liptovský Mikuláš · 0-3 (L)

Baník Prievidza

Head-to-head

2026-07-18T08:00:00.000Z · Púchov 2-2 Baník Prievidza (Friendlies Clubs)
2021-08-25T15:00:00.000Z · Púchov 3-1 Baník Prievidza (Cup)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.